Peter Roff , Newsweek Contributing Editor
1/18/19
1/18/19
It’s
seen, rightly, as partial payback for Pelosi’s proposal Trump postpone his
scheduled January 29 delivery of the State of the Union address until the
shutdown can be resolved. The rules of the House are such that if she doesn’t
invite him, he can’t come to the House chamber, where the speech has
traditionally been given. In her mind she’s denying him a forum to talk to the
American people while at the same time lecturing
Congress about the need for enhanced border security.
To
Trump though, that really doesn’t matter. The chance to play hardball with the
Speaker is something his base will embrace and, if he and his closest
communications advisers are smart, they’ll recognize this for the opportunity
it is.
The
Constitution does require the president to periodically report to Congress on
the “State of the Union.” But it’s only been since the time of Woodrow Wilson
at the beginning of the progressive era that presidents have regularly gone to Capitol Hill to address
Congress directly. In the age of the podcast, Twitter and Facebook Live, the
idea of a speech delivered off a teleprompter from a rostrum inside the House
chamber is an anachronism. As things are now, Trump can talk to them directly
and send Congress his message by email.
One
can imagine the most creative minds inside the West Wing are already at work trying to figure out a better
venue, of which there are many. Pelosi has ceded control of the optics. The
Democrats can’t boo, can’t refuse to rise when the GOP offers standing
ovations, and they can’t walk out en masse or even in small groups when he says
something which strikes them as outrageous if they’re not there.
Trump
could give the speech from East Room in the White House, with members of the press
and people for whom the illegal immigration crisis struck home in attendance.
Imagine the impact if he were able to call out or even have people rise who
were themselves victims of crimes committed by people who were in the United
States after illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexican border. How hard would it be
to find people who fit this profile who live in New York, which is represented
in the U.S. Senate by Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, or from Nancy Pelosi’s
piece of San Francisco or her hometown of Baltimore, Maryland where her father
was for many years the mayor.
U.S.
House Speaker Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) listens during a news conference on
Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. Alex Wong/Getty Images
This
kind of address would drive his point home powerfully, and in a way that
resonates with the average American. Or he could go to the border and give it
there in the presence not only of victims of crimes by illegal immigrants, but
also members of the border patrol who are doing so much to try and stem the tide.
And
if he really wanted to go “full Trump” he could tie the speech to one of his
rallies that have proven so effective for him in the past, in a place like
Daytona, Florida, just before its famous NASCAR race, or Houston, or San Diego,
or Phoenix—someplace near enough to the border to matter but where the
legions of Trump supporters can still get to.
By
asking Trump to postpone the speech, which essentially gives him the opening to
find another setting to deliver it, Pelosi has surrendered what little control
she had over the event. Rather than keep him from speaking she’s, as the saying
goes, handed him the rope.
The
national polls may show more people blaming Trump for the shutdown than the
Democrats. That’s probably true as he all but promised to own it if it
happened. But in regular America, the places where Trump voters live and work
and raise their children, the fact that life goes on while the government is
shut down may reinforce their intuitive sense that too much of government
doesn’t do anything important.
What
Trump has figured out, and Pelosi apparently hasn’t, is the people most
inconvenienced by it—in the short run at least—are members of the Democrats’
electoral constituency. Most federal workers and most big cities—where the
shutdown has the greatest impact—vote Democrat. By refusing to negotiate with
Trump, Pelosi is hurting her base, the very people who did so much to help put
her party back in power in the House.
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